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IMPACTO DE LA DIABETES EN LA DINÁMICA DE LA TRANSMISÍON DE LA TUBERCULOSIS EN ARGENTINA
Diabetes
Mathematical Models
Numerical Simulation
Intervention
Sensitivity Analysis
Simulación Numérica
Declaraciones
Análisis de Sensibilidad
Tuberculosis
Diabetes
Tuberculose
Modelos Matemáticos
Prevalência
Incidência
Estudos de Intervenção
Argentina
Fernández, Hugo Roberto | Data do documento:
2015
Título alternativo
Impact of diabetes on the transmission dynamics of tuberculosis in ArgentinaAutor(es)
Afiliação
Fundação Oswaldo Cruz. Escola Nacional de Saúde Pública Sergio Arouca. Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brasil.
Resumo em Inglês
The link between Diabetes and Tuberculosis has been recognized for long time. In recent decades acquired epidemiological importance in light of the expansion of the epidemic of type 2 diabetes mellitus in TB-endemic settings. The coexistence of diabetes and tuberculosis could have serious implications on TB control in many developing countries and be the next challenge for the global control of tuberculosis. In this context a better understanding of the interaction between the two diseases will allow better tools to address their control. Mathematical models are tools that have played a key role in strategies for TB control and the establishment of intermediate targets for intervention programs. This work presents a model, which includes the main components of the dynamics of tuberculosis and evaluates the dynamics for diabetes to change this behavior, worsening the situation of tuberculosis. A deterministic population-based model is proposed to analyze the impact of diabetes on the dynamics and treatment of Tuberculosis. The model calibrated with data estimated by WHO TB allowed projecting various scenarios for Argentina, generated from the evidence of interaction between the two conditions and intervention measures. The results are consistent with the international literature as evidence of a negative impact of the increase in diabetes in the situation of tuberculosis and its control.
Resumo em Espanhol
The link between Diabetes and Tuberculosis has been recognized for long time. In recent
decades acquired epidemiological importance in light of the expansion of the epidemic
of type 2 diabetes mellitus in TB-endemic settings. The coexistence of diabetes and
tuberculosis could have serious implications on TB control in many developing countries
and be the next challenge for the global control of tuberculosis. In this context a better
understanding of the interaction between the two diseases will allow better tools to
address their control. Mathematical models are tools that have played a key role in
strategies for TB control and the establishment of intermediate targets for intervention
programs. This work presents a model, which includes the main components of the
dynamics of tuberculosis and evaluates the dynamics for diabetes to change this behavior,
worsening the situation of tuberculosis. A deterministic population-based model is
proposed to analyze the impact of diabetes on the dynamics and treatment of
Tuberculosis. The model calibrated with data estimated by WHO TB allowed projecting
various scenarios for Argentina, generated from the evidence of interaction between the
two conditions and intervention measures. The results are consistent with the international
literature as evidence of a negative impact of the increase in diabetes in the situation of
tuberculosis and its control.
Palavras-chave em inglês
TuberculosisDiabetes
Mathematical Models
Numerical Simulation
Intervention
Sensitivity Analysis
Palavras-chave em espanhol
Modelos MatemáticosSimulación Numérica
Declaraciones
Análisis de Sensibilidad
Tuberculosis
Diabetes
DeCS
Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2Tuberculose
Modelos Matemáticos
Prevalência
Incidência
Estudos de Intervenção
Argentina
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